Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Ukraine’s European Backers Get Weak in the Knees

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Paying for it. Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani said it would be “premature” for...
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Weekly Graphic

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South Pacific

New Cable Connections to Christmas Island

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) For more than three decades, Christmas Island has depended on phosphate mining and exports for its economic livelihood. But these supplies won’t...
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Asia Pacific

Guinea Shakes Up Global Iron Ore Market

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(click to enlarge) After three decades, Guinea has officially inaugurated the Simandou mine, with the first shipment of iron ore expected to depart for China...
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The Worsening Oil Glut

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(click to enlarge) The World Bank predicts a widening imbalance between supply and demand in the energy market in 2026. Rising oil output, particularly from...
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Americas

US Strikes on Caribbean and Pacific Drug Trafficking

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(click to enlarge) Since Sept. 2, the United States has widened its use of kinetic force against maritime drug routes in the Caribbean and eastern...
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A New Jihadist Hub in Africa

AnalysisRonan Wordsworth -
Nigeria and Mali are at the center of what is fast becoming the world’s...
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The Peculiar Economics of the Black Sea Borderland

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
In moments of geopolitical transition, borderlands are often the harbingers of new economic orders....
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America in Transition

From disruption to reconstruction.

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The Nature of the Next American Cycle

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The United States is in the middle of a storm, the tempest from which...
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George Answers Your Questions: On the 28-Point Plan to Resolve Ukraine

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
On the 28-Point Plan to Resolve Ukraine Nov. 24, 2025 Question: Where does Belarus figure in...
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Explaining US Strategy Toward Venezuela

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
By now, it’s clear that military deployments in the Caribbean Sea are not just...
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The US Snubs the Lebanese Army

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
The Lebanese army is facing increasing pressure from both the U.S. and Israel to...
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The Nature of the Next American Cycle

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George Friedman -
The United States is in the middle of a storm, the tempest from which it will not emerge until the end of the decade....
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US Bargaining With China and Russia

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...
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American Naval Policy and China

Analysis George Friedman -
Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...
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Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

Analysis Antonia Colibasanu -
One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...
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George Answers Your Questions: On the 28-Point Plan to Resolve Ukraine

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
On the 28-Point Plan to Resolve Ukraine Nov. 24, 2025 Question: Where does Belarus figure in all of this? It borders NATO in the Baltics and...
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New Cable Connections to Christmas Island

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South PacificGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) For more than three decades, Christmas Island has depended on phosphate mining and exports for its economic livelihood. But these supplies won’t...
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Daily Memo: Putin in Central Asia, Syrian Unrest

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Regional talks. Russian President Vladimir Putin is in Kyrgyzstan for a three-day visit. He met on Wednesday with President Sadyr Japarov to discuss bilateral...
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Explaining US Strategy Toward Venezuela

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
By now, it’s clear that military deployments in the Caribbean Sea are not just about curbing drug trafficking and its associated threats to the...
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George Friedman on the Trump-Putin Peace Plan: Is It Now or Never?

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VideoGeopolitical Futures -
If the peace proposal currently under negotiation to end the war in Ukraine feels like déjà vu, you're not alone. Throughout the year, hopes for a diplomatic breakthrough have repeatedly surged and faded. But with the surprising terms of the latest proposal now on the table—and U.S. President Donald Trump hinting that this may be a "now or never" moment—the world is asking whether a real path to peace finally exists. Is the deal workable? How are Europe's leaders responding? And what fundamentals of the war risk being overlooked amid the political noise? Joining host Christian Smith to break down the proposal, assess the geopolitical dynamics shaping the negotiations, and explore the evolving economic relationship between the US and Russia and China is GPF Chairman George Friedman.
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George Friedman on the Trump-Putin Peace Plan: Is It Now Or Never?

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PodcastGeopolitical Futures -
If the peace proposal currently under negotiation to end the war in Ukraine feels like déjà vu, you're not alone. Throughout the year, hopes for a diplomatic breakthrough have repeatedly surged and faded. But with the surprising terms of the latest proposal now on the table—and U.S. President Donald Trump hinting that this may be a “now or never” moment—the world is asking whether a real path to peace finally exists. Is the deal workable? How are Europe’s leaders responding? And what fundamentals of the war risk being overlooked amid the political noise? Joining host Christian Smith to break down the proposal, assess the geopolitical dynamics shaping the negotiations, and explore the evolving economic relationship between the US and Russia and China is GPF Chairman George Friedman.
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